Second Basemen:
1. Chase Utley With three straight all-star caliber seasons at second base, Chase Utley has placed himself among the fantasy baseball elite. At age 30 we are seeing Chase Utley in his offensive prime and expect even more from him in 2008. An improving rate of walks to strikeouts, as well as rising batting averages, slugging and on-base percentages, and by making necessary adjustments, all make Utley a first round fantasy pick this season. Expert leagues are seeing Chase chosen among the top ten overall picks and he reigns supreme as best second basemen in, not just the National League, but in all of baseball. Undeniably number one second baseman.
2. Brandon Phillips Amazing what a change of address can do for your career. Now signed to a lengthy and lucrative contract by Cincinnati, Phillips was all but written off by the Cleveland Indians. Becoming a Red breathed new life into Brandon, who is now a credible 30/30 threat in the middle infield entering 2008. With a solid campaign in 2008, Phillips could enter 2009 atop all available second basemen. With Adam Dunn, Ken Griffey, Jr., Joey Votto, and Edwin Encarnacion as protection, and the potential addition of Jay Bruce in center field, Brandon Phillips will be given every shot for an encore peformance in ’08.
3. Dan Uggla At first glance, 2007 looks like a step backward for Dan Uggla. In reality, Uggla flashed more power than the previous season in avoiding a sophomore slump. With two seasons of solid home run and RBI totals, Uggla has earned his place among top picks up the middle. For a Florida lineup suffering a Miguel Cabrera-deficiency, Uggla should be a mainstay at the top of the order. Although he is leaps and bounds away from ousting Utley as a top second baseman, Dan Uggla has become a reliable source of 25-30 homers and 80-90 RBI from a typically offensively-anemic fantasy position.
4. Kelly Johnson Moved by Atlanta brass to second base, Kelly Johnson flourished in 2008. Always a serviceable Moneyball second baseman, Johnson established himself as a fantasy contributor to fans and virtual general managers in 2007. With significant talent and a pedigree of modest power, Johnson has emerged as more than a warm body at second base for your fantasy team. With 20 home run power and a solid lineup to protect him, Kelly Johnson is unquestionably the fourth best second baseman in the National League entering 2008.
5. Rickie Weeks In every race there’s an underdog – a darkhorse. In Rickie Weeks you get your dark horse. Few in the player pool have the kind of fantasy potential that Weeks has. If healthy and locked-in from the start, it is entirely feasible that Rickie Weeks could smack 20 homers and steal 30-40 bases. The reason he remains below Kelly Johnson and just a snippet above AARP-member Jeff Kent at second base, is his injury history. Buyer beware – but the upside is undeniable in Rickie Weeks.
6. Jeff Kent Card-carrying AARP member Jeff Kent has done nothing less than present fantasy general managers with a 20-30 home run hitter at second base for the better part of a decade. Kent will enter 2008 a 40 year old, and as such we feel Kent is best distilled as an injury risk with minimal upside. But, if you can root out alternative sources of 20 homers at second base that can be gotten as cheaply, we challenge you to draft them. But in an NL only format, Kent is assured the number six ranked second baseman.
7. Felipe Lopez Apparently, the best way to reduce a rising star and promising infielder to barely-serviceable is to have them play half their games at RFK stadium. With a new stadium and entering 2008 at age 27, Felipe Lopez carries some expectation of a rebound in 2008. Although we don’t expect the intriguing 20 home run power he possessed before being dealt to the Nationals, Lopez might still be capable of 10-15 homers and 30 steals. Beware Nick Johnson and Andruw Jones, Felipe Lopez may make his run at fantasy Comeback-Player-of-the-Year in ’08!
8. Orlando Hudson With Chris Burke breathing down his neck during 2008 threatening to turn second base into a platoon, Orlando Hudson will have to play well to keep his starting job. At 30 years of age, Orlando Hudson is unlikely to break out for a huge 2008 but is still young enough to surprise detractors. With only 3 homers after the all-star break last season, Hudson appears poised for a mediocre ’08. If healthy, however, there are plenty of worse options at second base. But, when you draft or purchase- at-auction Orlando Hudson, you now do so with the expectation of 10-15 homers, 10 or fewer steals, and a 275-290 average.
9. Freddy Sanchez One of the few Pirates worth a look in deeper fantasy leagues, Sanchez is intriguing. Although his batting average, slugging, and on-base percentages all dipped in 2008, Freddy battling through injuries and actually hit more homers in his third season in Pittsburgh. Don’t expect 20 homers, but Freddy Sanchez is still only 30 years old and is coming off of a tremendous second half effort to end ’08 where he hit 9 homers and batted .313. Think 12-16 homers if he’s healthy and don’t hold your breath on a stolen base.
10. Luis Castillo When the NY Mets want their man, they get their man. In some instances, it's a few years too late. Such is the case with Luis Castillo who no longer offers much more than average -- either on the big league field or the digital field. Luis enters this season at 32, and while some speedsters age by increasing their power as their legs diminish, such does not help Luis: multiplying zero by anything is still zero power. Healthy or not, and Luis has remained remarkably healthy, Luis provides the .300 batting average year after year. However that is bound to change, as is Luis's health streak, and we wouldn't want to bet on either -- unless your NL-only league somehow forgets that Luis made the jump to the Senior Circuit at last year's trading deadline. There are always the steals of course, Luis is firmly entrenched in the 20-per-year category, but unless Luis is the back end of a double steal with Jose Reyes it is likely he'll be asked to not take many risks with the big boppers batting behind him.
11. Mark DeRosa New Jersey native Mark DeRosa had a solid, if unspectacular 2007, despite expectations that a move to Wrigley Field would only continue his trend of rising power. Always fighting the label of “utility-infielder,” DeRosa ended the season vying for playing time in outfield and around the diamond, following the rise of hot-hitting Mike Fontenot. DeRosa enters 2008 tabbed as the started at second base, yet again, but it is hard to rely upon this 32 year old for a full season of productivity much less a breakthrough of 15-20 homers. Expect 10-12 and enjoy the fact that, by year’s end, Mark DeRosa may well positionally qualify at pitcher, catcher, and batting coach also.
12. Kaz Matsui How do you inject life into your failing career? Move to Coors Field and stay healthy. Matsui played in the most games since his rookie year and batted .330 at Coors during 2007. An away average of .249 and a move to Houston signals trouble for this 32 year old, fading option at second base. There is cause for concern about an ailing back which routinely shelves Kaz throughout his major league career. And without hitter-friendly Coors Field to round him up, you are looking at a candidate to bust in 2008. The silver lining in all of this, with the retirement of Craig Biggio and signing of Kaz Matsui, is that Mark Loretta’s stock appears on the rise.
13. Ray Durham Ray Durham batted .218 in 2007. That’s right….218. A sore shoulder limited Durham in ’07 and he says it is still bothering him entering ’08. It’s hard to endorse a player that is 36 years old, who has become a perpetual injury risk, and appeared to bottom out last season. We expect a slight rebound from Ray Durham as his offensive talent has never been in doubt. But, with an anemic .165 average after the all-star break and in the twilight of his career, we expect Durham to be either supplanted by a younger option or to post about the same numbers with a slight rebound in average.
Traditionally speaking, second base has been a difficult position to stash offense. The days of Ryne Sandberg as the lone offensive threat in the middle infield have been supplanted by the glory days of Brandon Phillips, Chase Utley, Dan Uggla, Rickie Weeks, and Kelly Johnson atop the leader board. Second base is deeper than years past, so draft and auction accordingly.
|